Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jokinen wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 52.1% vs Bozak 54.3% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 59.5%
Defensive zone
Bozak 63.9%
Neutral zone
Bozak 59.2%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Jokinen
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Jokinen
Bozak
Last 9: Jokinen 6-3 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
2
0
Jokinen
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
2
1
Jokinen
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Jokinen
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (196)
54.2% (962)
-0.1%
Power Play
55.7% (79)
57.9% (266)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (42)
52.1% (188)
-6.9%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Jokinen is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (99).
Jokinen shoots left. Bozak is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (922).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Bozak
Home
56.8% (169)
58.6% (732)
Away
48.3% (151)
50.5% (709)
By Period
Jokinen
Bozak
P1
52.6%
54.1%
P2
60.6%
55.0%
P3
45.0%
54.1%
OT
60.0%
65.2%
Final 5 min
45.7%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
52.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2011 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 1 | 19:01 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 1 | 05:30 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2011 | 1 | 00:51 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |