Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 50.3% vs Johnson 48.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 53.0%
Defensive zone
Johnson 60.2%
Neutral zone
Johnson 58.5%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Jokinen
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Jokinen
Johnson
Last 5: Jokinen 1-4 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jokinen
Johnson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
3
Jokinen
Johnson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (168)
49.5% (828)
-1.9%
Power Play
60.7% (56)
54.9% (142)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (26)
36.8% (133)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Jokinen has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Jokinen is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Jokinen shoots left. Johnson is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (728).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Johnson
Home
56.1% (123)
50.7% (564)
Away
44.9% (127)
46.6% (539)
By Period
Jokinen
Johnson
P1
53.1%
51.2%
P2
51.2%
47.5%
P3
47.3%
48.4%
OT
54.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.4%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
50.4%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2015 | 3 | 14:46 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 07:17 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 06:13 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |