Adam Fantilli vs Justin Hryckowian
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Hryckowian holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 49.6% vs Hryckowian 54.1% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hryckowian 50.6%
Defensive zone
Hryckowian 88.0%
Neutral zone
Hryckowian 63.7%
Result
Justin Hryckowian favored at 80.5%
19.5%
80.5%
Fantilli
Hryckowian
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Fantilli
Hryckowian
Last 5: Fantilli 4-1 Hryckowian
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
Hryckowian
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
1
Fantilli
Hryckowian
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Hryckowian
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (887)
58.4% (238)
-9.0%
Power Play
51.4% (105)
55.6% (9)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (12)
33.3% (30)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Fantilli has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hryckowian shoots left. Fantilli is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Fantilli shoots left. Hryckowian is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Hryckowian
Home
50.7% (503)
57.7% (142)
Away
48.5% (501)
53.3% (135)
By Period
Fantilli
Hryckowian
P1
47.0%
49.4%
P2
52.5%
64.5%
P3
49.7%
49.4%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
44.0%▼
46.5%
49.6%
Hryckowian
48.0%▼
55.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 16:07 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 12:30 | Defensive | Justin Hryckowian |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |