Scouting Report
Justin Williams holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 49.7% vs Williams 52.5% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Williams 86.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 88.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 56.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Cizikas
Williams
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cizikas
Williams
Last 5: Cizikas 4-1 Williams
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Williams
0
1
Cizikas
Williams
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
4
0
Cizikas
Williams
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Williams
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (676)
45.0% (40)
+5.7%
Power Play
69.2% (13)
59.2% (76)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (157)
100.0% (1)
-56.7%
On penalty kill, Williams has a +56.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Williams shoots right. Cizikas is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (327).
Cizikas shoots left. Williams is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Williams
Home
49.8% (486)
53.2% (62)
Away
49.4% (360)
56.4% (55)
By Period
Cizikas
Williams
P1
50.6%
51.9%
P2
46.0%
56.0%
P3
52.4%
55.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
68.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
70.0%▲
58.0%
49.6%
Williams
34.0%▼
37.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2016 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Justin Williams |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |