Scouting Report
JT Brown holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Brown wins 37.3% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brown 43.0% vs Kapanen 40.6% (+3.3%)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 50.6%
Defensive zone
Brown 52.1%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 50.7%
Result
JT Brown favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Brown
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brown
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
39.7% (237)
37.3% (212)
+2.4%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
50.0% (4)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
34.1% (41)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Brown has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Brown is 37.3% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Brown shoots right. Kapanen is 35.5% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Brown
Kapanen
Home
41.2% (148)
39.7% (116)
Away
39.1% (110)
34.8% (141)
By Period
Brown
Kapanen
P1
36.6%
35.6%
P2
43.0%
34.1%
P3
41.2%
41.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brown
34.0%▼
39.0%
40.3%
Kapanen
48.0%▲
39.0%
37.0%