Scouting Report
Joel Kellman holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kolesar on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kellman 49.7% vs Kolesar 47.7% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kolesar 65.2%
Defensive zone
Kolesar 50.9%
Neutral zone
Kolesar 60.4%
Result
Keegan Kolesar favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Kellman
Kolesar
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Kellman
Kolesar
Last 8: Kellman 3-5 Kolesar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kolesar
0
1
Kellman
Kolesar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kolesar
3
4
Kellman
Kolesar
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kellman
Kolesar
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (52)
46.3% (134)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
On penalty kill, Kellman has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kolesar shoots right. Kellman is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (16).
Kellman shoots left. Kolesar is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Kellman
Kolesar
Home
40.0% (20)
41.2% (51)
Away
54.3% (35)
48.8% (84)
By Period
Kellman
Kolesar
P1
44.4%
50.0%
P2
52.9%
46.9%
P3
50.0%
38.9%
Final 5 min
90.0%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kellman
50.0%▬
50.5%
49.1%
Kolesar
40.0%▲
38.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 08:12 | Neutral | Keegan Kolesar |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 01:53 | Offensive | Keegan Kolesar |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:02 | Neutral | Keegan Kolesar |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Keegan Kolesar |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Joel Kellman |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 06:01 | Neutral | Joel Kellman |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Joel Kellman |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 1 | 04:23 | Neutral | Keegan Kolesar |