Scouting Report
Paul Cotter holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aucoin 48.7% vs Cotter 50.8% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Cotter 59.4%
Defensive zone
Aucoin 71.4%
Neutral zone
Cotter 57.1%
Result
Keith Aucoin favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Aucoin
Cotter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aucoin
Cotter
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (448)
50.2% (253)
-2.4%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
64.3% (14)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
100.0% (1)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Cotter has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cotter shoots left. Aucoin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Aucoin shoots left. Cotter is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (153).
Home / Away
Aucoin
Cotter
Home
52.6% (215)
51.0% (143)
Away
45.1% (268)
51.2% (125)
By Period
Aucoin
Cotter
P1
45.8%
54.2%
P2
49.2%
43.4%
P3
51.9%
54.9%
Final 5 min
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aucoin
50.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Cotter
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.1%