Scouting Report
Shawn Matthias holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthias on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayes wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 38.0% vs Matthias 46.7% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Hayes
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Hayes
Matthias
Last 5: Hayes 2-3 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Matthias
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthias
1
3
Hayes
Matthias
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
37.1% (642)
47.2% (142)
-10.1%
Power Play
32.1% (28)
100.0% (2)
-67.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (11)
34.9% (43)
-34.9%
On power play, Matthias has a +67.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Hayes is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Hayes shoots left. Matthias is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Hayes
Matthias
Home
36.7% (354)
45.6% (57)
Away
35.8% (327)
44.6% (130)
By Period
Hayes
Matthias
P1
33.6%
54.3%
P2
38.3%
40.0%
P3
37.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
39.0%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
36.3%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2015 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 11:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 2 | 01:43 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 19, 2015 | 1 | 11:39 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |