Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +20.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayes wins 33.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 38.9% vs Bozak 55.8% (-20.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 91.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 84.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 89.2%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 89.8%
89.8%
10.2%
Hayes
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Hayes
Bozak
Last 7: Hayes 0-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Hayes
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
5
Hayes
Bozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
35.4% (362)
56.4% (837)
-21.0%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
60.8% (186)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
33.3% (36)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Hayes is 33.1% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Hayes shoots left. Bozak is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Hayes
Bozak
Home
36.8% (212)
58.7% (516)
Away
34.9% (169)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Hayes
Bozak
P1
40.3%
55.7%
P2
31.1%
53.4%
P3
34.2%
59.7%
OT
100.0%
63.2%
Final 5 min
29.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
36.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2015 | 3 | 03:37 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2015 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 05:34 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 30, 2015 | 1 | 09:41 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |