Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Rooney on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 48.3% vs Rooney 45.9% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 68.4%
Defensive zone
Lazar 70.8%
Neutral zone
Lazar 69.4%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Lazar
Rooney
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lazar
Rooney
Last 6: Lazar 4-2 Rooney
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Rooney
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rooney
1
2
Lazar
Rooney
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Rooney
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Rooney
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (272)
46.8% (378)
+2.8%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
33.3% (12)
+33.4%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (57)
33.3% (48)
+3.5%
On power play, Lazar has a +33.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rooney shoots left. Lazar is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Lazar shoots right. Rooney is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Lazar
Rooney
Home
47.8% (157)
48.0% (221)
Away
47.8% (178)
41.9% (217)
By Period
Lazar
Rooney
P1
41.7%
50.0%
P2
50.8%
48.5%
P3
50.0%
34.9%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
47.8%
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| May 8, 2021 | 1 | 16:15 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |
| May 6, 2021 | 2 | 15:04 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 04:22 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |