Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +18.1% FO% edge overall. Ritchie wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ritchie 39.8% vs Stenlund 54.2% (-18.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ritchie 89.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 61.3%
Neutral zone
Ritchie 73.2%
Result
Calum Ritchie favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Ritchie
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Ritchie
Stenlund
Last 7: Ritchie 2-5 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Ritchie
Stenlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
2
Ritchie
Stenlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ritchie
Stenlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ritchie
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
36.1% (296)
56.2% (650)
-20.1%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
53.2% (47)
-7.7%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Ritchie is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Ritchie shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Ritchie
Stenlund
Home
37.7% (162)
56.9% (483)
Away
35.2% (145)
52.5% (526)
By Period
Ritchie
Stenlund
P1
33.3%
54.2%
P2
38.3%
53.2%
P3
37.6%
56.9%
Final 5 min
38.8%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ritchie
34.0%▲
32.0%
36.5%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 02:52 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 19:29 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:23 | Neutral | Calum Ritchie |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:02 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |