Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Beniers on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Beniers shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Beniers 48.8% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beniers 89.7%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 61.9%
Neutral zone
Beniers 63.1%
Result
Matty Beniers favored at 72.5%
27.5%
72.5%
Stenlund
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Stenlund
Beniers
Last 6: Stenlund 2-4 Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beniers
0
4
Stenlund
Beniers
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
2
0
Stenlund
Beniers
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
48.3% (862)
+7.9%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
58.3% (36)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
50.0% (32)
+1.6%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Stenlund shoots right. Beniers is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Beniers
Home
56.9% (483)
52.4% (460)
Away
52.5% (526)
45.1% (470)
By Period
Stenlund
Beniers
P1
54.2%
47.5%
P2
53.2%
50.6%
P3
56.9%
47.6%
OT
42.1%
62.5%
Final 5 min
57.5%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 17:18 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Matty Beniers |