Scouting Report
Scott Laughton holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Stenlund wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stenlund 54.2% vs Laughton 55.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Laughton 53.7%
Defensive zone
Laughton 64.6%
Neutral zone
Laughton 62.7%
Result
Scott Laughton favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Stenlund
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stenlund
Laughton
Last 7: Stenlund 5-2 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
0
Stenlund
Laughton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
Stenlund
Laughton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
4
1
Stenlund
Laughton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stenlund
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (650)
54.5% (488)
+1.7%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
85.7% (7)
-32.5%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (312)
63.4% (142)
-11.8%
On power play, Laughton has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Stenlund shoots right. Laughton is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Stenlund
Laughton
Home
56.9% (483)
57.5% (275)
Away
52.5% (526)
56.4% (362)
By Period
Stenlund
Laughton
P1
54.2%
56.0%
P2
53.2%
61.8%
P3
56.9%
52.1%
OT
42.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 16:12 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 11:02 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 10:55 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 15:25 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 03:22 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 5, 2025 | 3 | 17:01 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |