Scouting Report
Ivan Barbashev holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Dach on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barbashev wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dach shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.5% vs Dach 38.8% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 54.8%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 66.0%
Neutral zone
Dach 65.4%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Barbashev
Dach
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Barbashev
Dach
Last 5: Barbashev 2-3 Dach
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dach
1
2
Barbashev
Dach
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Barbashev
Dach
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Dach
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (300)
34.8% (210)
+9.9%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
10.0% (10)
+61.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
50.0% (2)
-2.4%
On power play, Barbashev has a +61.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dach shoots right. Barbashev is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Barbashev shoots left. Dach is 33.5% vs left-shot opponents (155).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Dach
Home
39.6% (134)
35.5% (121)
Away
49.5% (194)
31.7% (101)
By Period
Barbashev
Dach
P1
38.3%
36.0%
P2
50.0%
29.6%
P3
49.1%
36.4%
Final 5 min
53.8%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
45.4%
Dach
44.0%▬
43.5%
33.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2020 | 3 | 05:37 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Mar 8, 2020 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 13:35 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 14, 2019 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |