Scouting Report
Leo Carlsson holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Dach wins 34.9% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 37.3% vs Carlsson 41.1% (-4.2%)
Offensive zone
Dach 50.1%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 51.5%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 51.0%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Dach
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
36.5% (1,423)
40.9% (1,878)
-4.4%
Power Play
35.7% (98)
42.9% (156)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
34.7% (121)
+1.3%
On power play, Carlsson has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Dach is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
Dach shoots right. Carlsson is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (643).
Home / Away
Dach
Carlsson
Home
37.0% (857)
42.2% (1,051)
Away
35.8% (689)
39.2% (1,104)
By Period
Dach
Carlsson
P1
35.3%
43.3%
P2
34.5%
36.2%
P3
40.4%
43.3%
OT
0.0%
40.7%
Final 5 min
39.9%
39.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
36.5%
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
40.7%