Scouting Report
Connor Bedard holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Bedard wins 40.5% vs right-shot opponents — Palmieri shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bedard 41.4% vs Palmieri 37.1% (+6.6%)
Offensive zone
Palmieri 67.0%
Defensive zone
Bedard 70.4%
Neutral zone
Bedard 53.0%
Result
Connor Bedard favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Bedard
Palmieri
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bedard
Palmieri
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (1,635)
32.3% (400)
+7.9%
Power Play
51.8% (83)
42.0% (50)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
57.9% (19)
-7.9%
On power play, Bedard has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Palmieri shoots right. Bedard is 40.5% vs right-shot opponents (481).
Bedard shoots right. Palmieri is 35.7% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Bedard
Palmieri
Home
43.3% (785)
37.5% (240)
Away
38.9% (957)
31.0% (229)
By Period
Bedard
Palmieri
P1
38.9%
31.3%
P2
41.2%
38.3%
P3
42.5%
33.9%
OT
42.9%
18.2%
Final 5 min
44.9%
38.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bedard
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.9%
Palmieri
38.0%▲
35.5%
34.3%