Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gauthier on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 50.7% vs Turris 52.8% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turris 73.4%
Defensive zone
Gauthier 78.8%
Neutral zone
Gauthier 50.1%
Result
Frederik Gauthier favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Gauthier
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Gauthier
Turris
Last 9: Gauthier 4-5 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
1
Gauthier
Turris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
4
2
Gauthier
Turris
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turris
0
2
Gauthier
Turris
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (154)
52.7% (942)
+1.2%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
54.9% (226)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (74)
52.6% (57)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Turris has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. Gauthier is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Gauthier shoots left. Turris is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (891).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Turris
Home
52.4% (126)
56.3% (627)
Away
49.5% (109)
49.7% (598)
By Period
Gauthier
Turris
P1
47.3%
50.4%
P2
52.4%
53.9%
P3
55.0%
54.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
40.0%▼
45.0%
51.1%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 18:22 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 08:35 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 18:29 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 10:24 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 02:12 | Defensive | Frederik Gauthier |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 01:57 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |