Scouting Report
Kyle Turris holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Turris wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turris 52.8% vs Girgensons 47.6% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 80.2%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 76.8%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 75.8%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 77.1%
22.9%
77.1%
Turris
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Turris
Girgensons
Last 5: Turris 1-4 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Turris
Girgensons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Turris
Girgensons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
2
Turris
Girgensons
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turris
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (942)
47.7% (560)
+5.0%
Power Play
54.9% (226)
28.6% (7)
+26.3%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (57)
33.3% (12)
+19.3%
On power play, Turris has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Turris is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (891).
Turris shoots right. Girgensons is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Turris
Girgensons
Home
56.3% (627)
51.1% (266)
Away
49.7% (598)
43.8% (313)
By Period
Turris
Girgensons
P1
50.4%
48.5%
P2
53.9%
46.8%
P3
54.9%
46.2%
OT
53.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
53.1%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 1 | 15:49 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 2 | 07:15 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |