Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 57.6% vs Eller 51.9% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 62.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 83.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 77.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 76.0%
24.0%
76.0%
Horvat
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Horvat
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Horvat
Eller
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Horvat
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (987)
52.8% (650)
+5.8%
Power Play
60.6% (251)
69.2% (13)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (81)
45.5% (88)
+0.2%
On power play, Eller has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Horvat is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Horvat shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Horvat
Eller
Home
59.2% (684)
52.6% (340)
Away
57.0% (635)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Horvat
Eller
P1
57.9%
52.4%
P2
55.4%
54.1%
P3
61.5%
50.0%
OT
53.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.9%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
68.0%▲
57.5%
58.2%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 18:09 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 18:09 | Defensive | Lars Eller |