Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Eller 50.5% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 90.2%
Defensive zone
Roslovic 50.0%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 76.1%
Result
Jack Roslovic favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Roslovic
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Roslovic
Eller
Last 10: Roslovic 4-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
6
1
Roslovic
Eller
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
8
Roslovic
Eller
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
4
Roslovic
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (3,012)
51.1% (10,321)
-6.1%
Power Play
48.4% (341)
52.8% (621)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
46.6% (1,759)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Roslovic is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,387).
Roslovic shoots right. Eller is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (4,587).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Eller
Home
44.0% (1,739)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
46.0% (1,719)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Roslovic
Eller
P1
45.5%
51.2%
P2
44.9%
50.1%
P3
44.8%
50.2%
OT
31.8%
56.7%
Final 5 min
44.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:37 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 09:40 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 31, 2023 | 1 | 04:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 12:40 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 09:36 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 2 | 14:59 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 19:39 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 15:57 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 10:21 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 8, 2022 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |