Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Eller wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kunin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Kunin 50.3% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 55.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 63.6%
Neutral zone
Eller 55.5%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Eller
Kunin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Eller
Kunin
Last 9: Eller 5-4 Kunin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
2
Eller
Kunin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
4
2
Eller
Kunin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kunin
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
51.5% (305)
+4.5%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
55.6% (9)
+22.2%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
43.9% (57)
+8.0%
On power play, Eller has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kunin shoots right. Eller is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Eller shoots left. Kunin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Home / Away
Eller
Kunin
Home
52.6% (215)
50.0% (178)
Away
58.3% (307)
50.8% (193)
By Period
Eller
Kunin
P1
54.1%
53.0%
P2
57.6%
53.8%
P3
56.2%
44.1%
Final 5 min
60.0%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Kunin
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 17:35 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:46 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:33 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:54 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 01:48 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |