Scouting Report
Mathieu Perreault holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Perreault on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Perreault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 47.0% vs Perreault 50.6% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 59.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 65.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 64.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Eller
Perreault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Eller
Perreault
Last 5: Eller 1-4 Perreault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
0
1
Eller
Perreault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Perreault
0
1
Eller
Perreault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Perreault
1
2
Eller
Perreault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Perreault
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (588)
51.8% (413)
-6.1%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
36.4% (33)
+24.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (63)
0.0% (1)
+50.8%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +50.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Perreault shoots left. Eller is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Eller shoots left. Perreault is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Eller
Perreault
Home
48.3% (329)
50.0% (212)
Away
44.9% (356)
51.5% (239)
By Period
Eller
Perreault
P1
50.0%
49.0%
P2
41.3%
47.8%
P3
47.4%
56.2%
Final 5 min
46.3%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
46.6%
Perreault
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 15:55 | Offensive | Mathieu Perreault |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 19:38 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 16:18 | Neutral | Mathieu Perreault |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 1 | 16:10 | Neutral | Lars Eller |