Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Amadio on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.3% vs Amadio 45.9% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Amadio 79.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 65.0%
Neutral zone
Amadio 57.9%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Eller
Amadio
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Eller
Amadio
Last 6: Eller 2-4 Amadio
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Amadio
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Amadio
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Amadio
0
3
Eller
Amadio
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Amadio
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (749)
41.2% (148)
+8.9%
Power Play
46.1% (76)
59.1% (22)
-13.0%
On power play, Amadio has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Amadio shoots right. Eller is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Eller shoots left. Amadio is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Eller
Amadio
Home
51.4% (465)
45.6% (79)
Away
47.3% (491)
41.8% (91)
By Period
Eller
Amadio
P1
47.9%
44.3%
P2
51.6%
39.1%
P3
47.7%
48.9%
Final 5 min
46.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
49.3%
Amadio
48.0%▼
49.5%
43.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 05:59 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 05:52 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 02:09 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 15:25 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |