Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Eller wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Rasmussen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Rasmussen 47.8% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 65.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 88.0%
Neutral zone
Eller 84.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Eller
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Eller
Rasmussen
Last 10: Eller 7-3 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
Rasmussen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
5
2
Eller
Rasmussen
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
46.8% (248)
+9.2%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
62.5% (8)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
43.8% (16)
+8.1%
On power play, Eller has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Eller shoots left. Rasmussen is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Eller
Rasmussen
Home
52.6% (215)
50.0% (98)
Away
58.3% (307)
45.4% (174)
By Period
Eller
Rasmussen
P1
54.1%
40.2%
P2
57.6%
55.8%
P3
56.2%
43.0%
Final 5 min
60.0%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 04:11 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 10:37 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 02:07 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 11:40 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 18, 2026 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Lars Eller |