Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaustad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 47.0% vs Gaustad 56.7% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 73.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 59.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 65.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 68.8%
68.8%
31.2%
Eller
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Eller
Gaustad
Last 5: Eller 1-4 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Eller
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
2
Eller
Gaustad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (588)
57.8% (854)
-12.1%
Power Play
61.1% (18)
56.0% (25)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (63)
55.1% (263)
-4.3%
On even strength, Gaustad has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Eller is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Eller shoots left. Gaustad is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
Eller
Gaustad
Home
48.3% (329)
61.3% (633)
Away
44.9% (356)
52.4% (517)
By Period
Eller
Gaustad
P1
50.0%
57.9%
P2
41.3%
55.3%
P3
47.4%
58.3%
OT
50.0%
64.3%
Final 5 min
46.3%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
46.6%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2012 | 3 | 03:48 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 31, 2012 | 2 | 19:16 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 14, 2011 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 14, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Nov 14, 2011 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Lars Eller |