Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Sheahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 52.9% vs Sheahan 49.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheahan 81.4%
Defensive zone
Eller 54.6%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 66.3%
Result
Riley Sheahan favored at 75.4%
24.6%
75.4%
Eller
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Eller
Sheahan
Last 5: Eller 1-4 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
3
Eller
Sheahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Sheahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (803)
47.6% (429)
+5.7%
Power Play
55.8% (86)
59.5% (79)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (90)
0.0% (4)
+50.0%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Eller is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Eller shoots left. Sheahan is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Eller
Sheahan
Home
52.8% (525)
52.7% (258)
Away
53.7% (454)
45.3% (254)
By Period
Eller
Sheahan
P1
53.9%
48.8%
P2
54.8%
49.7%
P3
50.9%
48.9%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.2%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
53.2%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2014 | 3 | 10:47 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 3 | 05:22 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 3 | 01:56 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 1 | 19:16 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 26, 2014 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Lars Eller |