Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Eller wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 55.0% vs Trocheck 56.2% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 61.0%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 69.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Eller
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Eller
Trocheck
Last 5: Eller 1-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Eller
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Eller
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (459)
58.0% (666)
-2.0%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
64.8% (165)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (54)
43.4% (152)
+8.5%
On power play, Eller has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Eller is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Eller shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
Eller
Trocheck
Home
52.6% (215)
55.3% (436)
Away
58.3% (307)
58.1% (547)
By Period
Eller
Trocheck
P1
54.1%
56.4%
P2
57.6%
58.7%
P3
56.2%
55.5%
Final 5 min
60.0%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Trocheck
62.0%▲
55.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2026 | 3 | 03:27 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 1 | 15:39 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |