Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (38.8% vs 39.0%). Marchand wins 36.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crouse shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 40.3% vs Crouse 40.8% (-0.2%)
Offensive zone
Marchand 55.5%
Defensive zone
Crouse 58.6%
Neutral zone
Marchand 54.3%
Result
Brad Marchand favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Marchand
Crouse
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Crouse
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (473)
38.9% (396)
-2.3%
Power Play
49.3% (146)
39.6% (48)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (66)
39.3% (56)
-7.5%
On power play, Marchand has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crouse shoots left. Marchand is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Marchand shoots left. Crouse is 37.5% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Marchand
Crouse
Home
39.9% (363)
40.4% (265)
Away
37.6% (322)
37.4% (235)
By Period
Marchand
Crouse
P1
41.3%
44.1%
P2
35.0%
33.7%
P3
39.2%
37.0%
Final 5 min
37.9%
36.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
38.8%
Crouse
32.0%▼
36.5%
39.0%