Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.7% vs 41.0%). Carlsson wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Adam shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 41.1% vs Adam 42.8% (-0.3%)
Offensive zone
Adam 52.4%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 50.2%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 51.9%
Result
Luke Adam favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Carlsson
Adam
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Adam
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (1,873)
40.3% (377)
+0.5%
Power Play
43.2% (155)
50.0% (26)
-6.8%
On power play, Adam has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Adam shoots left. Carlsson is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,506).
Carlsson shoots left. Adam is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Adam
Home
42.2% (1,044)
44.9% (187)
Away
39.2% (1,104)
37.6% (218)
By Period
Carlsson
Adam
P1
43.2%
42.1%
P2
36.2%
37.9%
P3
43.3%
43.2%
OT
40.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
36.0%▼
38.5%
40.7%
Adam
44.0%▬
43.5%
41.0%