Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carlsson wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carlsson 44.6% vs Hischier 55.4% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Carlsson 88.5%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 92.9%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 86.5%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Carlsson
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Carlsson
Hischier
Last 10: Carlsson 1-9 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
3
Carlsson
Hischier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
3
Carlsson
Hischier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
3
Carlsson
Hischier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carlsson
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (690)
55.5% (1,172)
-10.6%
Power Play
47.0% (83)
64.5% (265)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (84)
43.9% (164)
-10.6%
On power play, Hischier has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Carlsson is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Carlsson shoots left. Hischier is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,026).
Home / Away
Carlsson
Hischier
Home
42.5% (428)
56.8% (791)
Away
45.5% (429)
54.8% (810)
By Period
Carlsson
Hischier
P1
45.1%
56.0%
P2
39.0%
58.6%
P3
48.5%
53.5%
OT
41.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
38.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carlsson
36.0%▼
38.5%
44.0%
Hischier
66.0%▲
58.0%
55.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:09 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:24 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:46 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 13:00 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |