Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Shaw wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 47.7% vs Draisaitl 50.5% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shaw 74.6%
Defensive zone
Shaw 73.1%
Neutral zone
Shaw 74.8%
Result
Andrew Shaw favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Shaw
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Shaw
Draisaitl
Last 5: Shaw 0-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Shaw
Draisaitl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
3
Shaw
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (299)
51.5% (931)
-5.7%
Power Play
54.5% (66)
48.2% (282)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
48.8% (127)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Shaw is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (293).
Shaw shoots right. Draisaitl is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (473).
Home / Away
Shaw
Draisaitl
Home
50.0% (152)
51.3% (637)
Away
45.3% (232)
49.8% (703)
By Period
Shaw
Draisaitl
P1
44.8%
50.3%
P2
46.0%
47.4%
P3
50.4%
53.2%
Final 5 min
46.8%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 09:20 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |