Chandler Stephenson vs Leon Draisaitl
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stephenson 52.0% vs Draisaitl 56.4% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 21-6 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Stephenson 77.3%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 94.7%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 87.5%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Stephenson
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
21
(27 meetings)
6
21
Stephenson
Draisaitl
Last 10: Stephenson 2-8 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
15
Stephenson
Draisaitl
16 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stephenson
Draisaitl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
4
Stephenson
Draisaitl
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stephenson
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (867)
55.9% (835)
-3.9%
Power Play
62.1% (248)
61.8% (228)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
39.5% (185)
50.0% (40)
-10.5%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Stephenson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (797).
Stephenson shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Home / Away
Stephenson
Draisaitl
Home
53.1% (672)
55.1% (508)
Away
51.1% (628)
58.5% (595)
By Period
Stephenson
Draisaitl
P1
54.2%
55.8%
P2
50.7%
55.7%
P3
52.0%
59.0%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stephenson
44.0%▼
53.0%
52.2%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 04:04 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 07:17 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 19:56 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 19:38 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 19:08 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 10:52 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 07:30 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:20 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:56 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 06:35 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |