Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +16.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Barzal 41.9% (+16.6%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 96.1%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 83.6%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 95.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 92.3%
92.3%
7.7%
Draisaitl
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Draisaitl
Barzal
Last 10: Draisaitl 7-3 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
2
Draisaitl
Barzal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
0
Draisaitl
Barzal
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
3
1
Draisaitl
Barzal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
40.9% (469)
+15.0%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
34.2% (38)
+27.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
28.6% (7)
+21.4%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Draisaitl shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Barzal
Home
55.1% (508)
39.2% (250)
Away
58.5% (595)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Draisaitl
Barzal
P1
55.8%
46.3%
P2
55.7%
36.7%
P3
59.0%
38.5%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.8%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 16:22 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 02:55 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:52 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 15:01 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |