Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Draisaitl wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 56.4% vs Barron 46.8% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 62.8%
Defensive zone
Barron 94.7%
Neutral zone
Barron 80.2%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 76.2%
23.8%
76.2%
Draisaitl
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Draisaitl
Barron
Last 7: Draisaitl 2-5 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
2
0
Draisaitl
Barron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
0
4
Draisaitl
Barron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
0
1
Draisaitl
Barron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (835)
48.6% (381)
+7.3%
Power Play
61.8% (228)
33.3% (3)
+28.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (40)
41.7% (187)
+8.3%
On power play, Draisaitl has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (708).
Draisaitl shoots left. Barron is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Barron
Home
55.1% (508)
44.4% (306)
Away
58.5% (595)
48.3% (265)
By Period
Draisaitl
Barron
P1
55.8%
45.5%
P2
55.7%
49.8%
P3
59.0%
43.1%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.8%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 09:21 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:13 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 13:04 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:31 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |