Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Draisaitl wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 55.6% vs Carpenter 50.2% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 93.2%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 69.8%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 80.8%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Draisaitl
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Draisaitl
Carpenter
Last 5: Draisaitl 4-1 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
1
Draisaitl
Carpenter
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (956)
48.4% (314)
+8.2%
Power Play
53.5% (144)
60.0% (5)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
55.1% (98)
57.0% (79)
-1.9%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Draisaitl is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (459).
Draisaitl shoots left. Carpenter is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Carpenter
Home
56.1% (626)
55.8% (197)
Away
56.1% (572)
44.8% (201)
By Period
Draisaitl
Carpenter
P1
56.9%
48.3%
P2
53.7%
47.8%
P3
56.9%
54.6%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
59.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
64.0%▲
54.0%
56.1%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 14:24 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Apr 5, 2018 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 14:55 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 2 | 16:41 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |