Scouting Report
Jacob de la Rose holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rose on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rose wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Brown shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rose 44.9% vs Brown 44.9% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brown 66.2%
Defensive zone
Rose 62.2%
Neutral zone
Rose 53.1%
Result
Jacob de la Rose favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Rose
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Rose
Brown
Last 5: Rose 4-1 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rose
2
0
Rose
Brown
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rose
2
1
Rose
Brown
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rose
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
42.3% (234)
39.0% (118)
+3.3%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
57.1% (14)
-40.4%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (34)
50.0% (2)
+2.9%
On power play, Brown has a +40.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots left. Rose is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Rose shoots left. Brown is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Rose
Brown
Home
40.7% (140)
50.9% (57)
Away
45.5% (134)
33.8% (77)
By Period
Rose
Brown
P1
46.9%
48.3%
P2
41.3%
32.6%
P3
40.5%
39.4%
Final 5 min
35.7%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rose
48.0%▲
44.5%
43.1%
Brown
34.0%▼
36.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2019 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Oct 23, 2019 | 2 | 17:09 | Neutral | Logan Brown |
| Oct 23, 2019 | 2 | 03:15 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |
| Oct 23, 2019 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Jacob de la Rose |
| Oct 23, 2019 | 1 | 10:29 | Neutral | Jacob de la Rose |