Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couture shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Couture 48.3% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 16-6 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 88.0%
Defensive zone
Larkin 67.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 80.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
Larkin
Couture
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
6
(22 meetings)
16
6
Larkin
Couture
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Couture
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
7
1
Larkin
Couture
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
3
5
Larkin
Couture
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
0
Larkin
Couture
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Couture
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
48.8% (8,919)
+2.8%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
54.6% (624)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
39.8% (992)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couture shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Larkin shoots left. Couture is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,927).
Home / Away
Larkin
Couture
Home
53.9% (6,277)
49.4% (5,418)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
47.1% (5,135)
By Period
Larkin
Couture
P1
52.7%
47.9%
P2
53.1%
47.9%
P3
52.0%
49.2%
OT
58.4%
48.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 15:03 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:23 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 15:47 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 17:36 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2019 | OT | 04:45 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 16, 2019 | OT | 01:39 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 16, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 14:29 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 16, 2019 | 2 | 00:33 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 2 | 19:09 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |