Scouting Report
Logan Couture holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Couture wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Richards shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 51.3% vs Richards 49.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 51.2%
Defensive zone
Couture 59.0%
Neutral zone
Couture 58.2%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Couture
Richards
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Couture
Richards
Last 6: Couture 4-2 Richards
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Couture
Richards
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
2
0
Couture
Richards
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Couture
Richards
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Richards
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (453)
50.0% (370)
+1.2%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
50.0% (30)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
59.3% (27)
39.0% (41)
+20.3%
On penalty kill, Couture has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Richards shoots left. Couture is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Couture shoots left. Richards is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Couture
Richards
Home
54.4% (261)
52.3% (214)
Away
48.2% (228)
45.8% (227)
By Period
Couture
Richards
P1
57.6%
47.3%
P2
48.4%
53.2%
P3
47.7%
46.3%
OT
54.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
51.5%
Richards
58.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 07:20 | Neutral | Mike Richards |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 01:36 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 18:48 | Neutral | Logan Couture |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 3 | 05:39 | Offensive | Mike Richards |
| Apr 16, 2013 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Logan Couture |