Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Couture wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 46.8% vs Koivu 54.1% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 71.1%
Defensive zone
Couture 72.0%
Neutral zone
Couture 75.9%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Couture
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Couture
Koivu
Last 9: Couture 2-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Couture
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Couture
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
4
Couture
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (526)
55.1% (672)
-8.7%
Power Play
42.4% (33)
56.5% (115)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (50)
49.5% (107)
-1.5%
On power play, Koivu has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Couture is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (381).
Couture shoots left. Koivu is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Couture
Koivu
Home
46.5% (333)
56.6% (410)
Away
46.0% (276)
52.9% (484)
By Period
Couture
Koivu
P1
45.7%
51.7%
P2
43.7%
56.7%
P3
48.7%
55.3%
OT
83.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
46.3%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:04 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 6, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |