Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 56.7% vs Stankoven 44.6% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 77.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 90.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 90.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 88.3%
88.3%
11.7%
Tavares
Stankoven
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
0
(6 meetings)
6
0
Tavares
Stankoven
Last 6: Tavares 6-0 Stankoven
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Stankoven
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Stankoven
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Stankoven
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Stankoven
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (956)
44.2% (727)
+13.5%
Power Play
55.7% (244)
42.0% (88)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
50.0% (6)
+2.2%
On power play, Tavares has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stankoven shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Tavares shoots left. Stankoven is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Tavares
Stankoven
Home
57.4% (636)
44.4% (423)
Away
57.1% (587)
43.5% (398)
By Period
Tavares
Stankoven
P1
57.1%
43.1%
P2
57.0%
43.9%
P3
57.6%
45.3%
OT
57.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
44.0%▼
52.5%
57.2%
Stankoven
42.0%▬
42.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 05:54 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 20, 2026 | 3 | 02:07 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 17:09 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |