Scouting Report
Lucas Wallmark holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Wallmark on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 49.4% vs Wallmark 50.9% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wallmark 55.5%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 67.4%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 52.7%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Soderberg
Wallmark
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Soderberg
Wallmark
Last 7: Soderberg 2-5 Wallmark
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wallmark
1
2
Soderberg
Wallmark
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Soderberg
Wallmark
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wallmark
0
2
Soderberg
Wallmark
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Wallmark
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (755)
51.8% (956)
-1.3%
Power Play
55.0% (80)
44.1% (59)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (235)
47.4% (114)
-3.6%
On power play, Soderberg has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wallmark shoots left. Soderberg is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Soderberg shoots left. Wallmark is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Wallmark
Home
50.1% (555)
52.5% (579)
Away
48.5% (515)
49.3% (550)
By Period
Soderberg
Wallmark
P1
49.9%
54.4%
P2
45.5%
48.8%
P3
52.2%
50.1%
OT
55.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
49.3%
Wallmark
44.0%▬
44.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 04:39 | Offensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 04:14 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 03:50 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 00:55 | Neutral | Lucas Wallmark |