Charlie Coyle vs Macklin Celebrini
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.2%). Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.8% vs Celebrini 48.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 82.2%
Defensive zone
Coyle 62.3%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 54.3%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Coyle
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Coyle
Celebrini
Last 5: Coyle 1-4 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
3
Coyle
Celebrini
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Coyle
Celebrini
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (576)
47.2% (901)
+2.3%
Power Play
54.2% (48)
54.7% (139)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (145)
54.5% (11)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Coyle shoots right. Celebrini is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Coyle
Celebrini
Home
47.4% (409)
47.6% (553)
Away
50.0% (360)
49.0% (498)
By Period
Coyle
Celebrini
P1
50.8%
46.6%
P2
46.0%
46.4%
P3
48.4%
51.8%
OT
64.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.6%
Celebrini
44.0%▼
52.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2025 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 2 | 00:50 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:54 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 15:29 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |