Curtis Lazar vs Macklin Celebrini
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lazar wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Celebrini 48.4% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 57.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 96.3%
Neutral zone
Lazar 82.1%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Lazar
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lazar
Celebrini
Last 7: Lazar 5-2 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
1
Lazar
Celebrini
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
4
0
Lazar
Celebrini
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Celebrini
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
63.5% (181)
47.5% (979)
+16.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
53.6% (110)
-53.6%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
56.0% (25)
+0.3%
On power play, Celebrini has a +53.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Lazar is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Lazar shoots right. Celebrini is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Lazar
Celebrini
Home
63.0% (135)
47.8% (523)
Away
59.3% (118)
48.7% (591)
By Period
Lazar
Celebrini
P1
64.6%
47.4%
P2
60.0%
46.6%
P3
59.3%
50.8%
Final 5 min
67.2%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
Celebrini
38.0%▼
42.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 07:13 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 01:40 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 14:51 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |