Macklin Celebrini vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Macklin Celebrini holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Buchnevich on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.4% vs Buchnevich 43.0% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 54.2%
Defensive zone
Celebrini 56.8%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 50.4%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Celebrini
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Celebrini
Buchnevich
Last 5: Celebrini 2-3 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
1
3
Celebrini
Buchnevich
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
1
0
Celebrini
Buchnevich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (979)
39.8% (181)
+7.7%
Power Play
53.6% (110)
42.9% (14)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
30.0% (10)
+26.0%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Celebrini is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Celebrini shoots left. Buchnevich is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Buchnevich
Home
47.8% (523)
40.7% (118)
Away
48.7% (591)
37.9% (87)
By Period
Celebrini
Buchnevich
P1
47.4%
41.6%
P2
46.6%
34.3%
P3
50.8%
42.4%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.4%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
38.0%▼
42.0%
48.3%
Buchnevich
42.0%▲
39.5%
39.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 01:15 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |