Macklin Celebrini vs Ryan Poehling
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 47.7%). Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.4% vs Poehling 47.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 82.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 71.4%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 51.3%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Celebrini
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Celebrini
Poehling
Last 5: Celebrini 1-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Celebrini
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Celebrini
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (979)
50.5% (666)
-3.0%
Power Play
53.6% (110)
58.3% (12)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
38.6% (215)
+17.4%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Celebrini is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Celebrini shoots left. Poehling is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (598).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Poehling
Home
47.8% (523)
47.3% (404)
Away
48.7% (591)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Celebrini
Poehling
P1
47.4%
53.5%
P2
46.6%
40.1%
P3
50.8%
50.0%
OT
57.1%
35.7%
Final 5 min
45.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
38.0%▼
42.0%
48.3%
Poehling
58.0%▲
52.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 11:14 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:18 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:33 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |