Macklin Celebrini vs Ryan Poehling
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 47.7%). Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.7% vs Poehling 48.0% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 82.3%
Defensive zone
Poehling 72.4%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 51.1%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Celebrini
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Celebrini
Poehling
Last 5: Celebrini 1-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Celebrini
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Celebrini
Poehling
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (993)
50.4% (680)
-2.6%
Power Play
54.1% (111)
58.3% (12)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
56.0% (25)
38.8% (219)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Celebrini is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Celebrini shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Poehling
Home
48.5% (538)
47.4% (422)
Away
48.7% (591)
48.1% (489)
By Period
Celebrini
Poehling
P1
48.1%
53.3%
P2
46.8%
40.3%
P3
51.0%
50.0%
OT
57.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
46.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 14:27 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 11:14 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:18 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:33 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |