Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.2% vs 53.4%). Look for Emmerton on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Emmerton 52.2% vs Goc 53.1% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Emmerton 51.0%
Defensive zone
Goc 75.3%
Neutral zone
Emmerton 51.8%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Emmerton
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Emmerton
Goc
Last 6: Emmerton 5-1 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Emmerton
3
1
Emmerton
Goc
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Emmerton
2
0
Emmerton
Goc
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Emmerton
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (96)
55.5% (881)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
45.8% (260)
+17.8%
On penalty kill, Emmerton has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Emmerton is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (61).
Emmerton shoots left. Goc is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (801).
Home / Away
Emmerton
Goc
Home
50.0% (56)
53.6% (552)
Away
58.8% (51)
53.2% (681)
By Period
Emmerton
Goc
P1
41.5%
54.6%
P2
61.0%
52.7%
P3
64.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
53.8%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Emmerton
56.0%▲
50.0%
54.2%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2014 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Mar 20, 2014 | 1 | 08:46 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 15:17 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Cory Emmerton |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |
| Dec 7, 2013 | 2 | 18:11 | Defensive | Cory Emmerton |