Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kasper on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kasper wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 50.0% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kasper 59.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 84.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 69.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Kasper
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Kasper
Kuraly
Last 7: Kasper 6-1 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
4
0
Kasper
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kasper
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (366)
52.6% (464)
-1.2%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
100.0% (1)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
46.5% (155)
-14.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Kasper is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (264).
Kasper shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Kasper
Kuraly
Home
51.5% (194)
55.9% (322)
Away
48.5% (200)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Kasper
Kuraly
P1
54.1%
55.9%
P2
52.1%
46.7%
P3
43.4%
50.7%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
50.0%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 02:03 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:17 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:49 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |