Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 49.7% vs Moore 48.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Moore 52.0%
Defensive zone
Rossi 62.9%
Neutral zone
Rossi 52.7%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Rossi
Moore
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Rossi
Moore
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
0
Rossi
Moore
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Moore
0
1
Rossi
Moore
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Moore
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (440)
50.3% (187)
+1.3%
Power Play
35.1% (37)
33.3% (15)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
0.0% (3)
+37.0%
On penalty kill, Rossi has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Moore shoots left. Rossi is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Rossi shoots left. Moore is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (141).
Home / Away
Rossi
Moore
Home
50.0% (260)
52.3% (132)
Away
49.2% (244)
41.1% (73)
By Period
Rossi
Moore
P1
53.7%
44.3%
P2
47.6%
54.2%
P3
47.4%
46.5%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Moore
38.0%▼
48.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 01:08 | Neutral | Oliver Moore |