Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pavelski wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Johansson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pavelski 53.9% vs Johansson 41.7% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Johansson leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansson 85.4%
Defensive zone
Johansson 85.3%
Neutral zone
Johansson 91.0%
Result
Marcus Johansson favored at 87.1%
12.9%
87.1%
Pavelski
Johansson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Pavelski
Johansson
Last 10: Pavelski 2-8 Johansson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
0
3
Pavelski
Johansson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansson
1
3
Pavelski
Johansson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansson
1
2
Pavelski
Johansson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pavelski
Johansson
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (682)
40.3% (596)
+13.1%
Power Play
63.7% (168)
47.2% (36)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (160)
42.9% (28)
+5.2%
On power play, Pavelski has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansson shoots left. Pavelski is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Pavelski shoots right. Johansson is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Pavelski
Johansson
Home
59.0% (527)
43.5% (313)
Away
49.3% (493)
37.9% (356)
By Period
Pavelski
Johansson
P1
50.8%
42.6%
P2
58.9%
42.9%
P3
53.6%
36.4%
OT
42.9%
22.2%
Final 5 min
54.1%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.3%
Johansson
28.0%▼
38.0%
40.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2011 | 3 | 18:05 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 3 | 15:55 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 3 | 11:04 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 3 | 05:53 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 2 | 00:35 | Neutral | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Marcus Johansson |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 1 | 09:14 | Defensive | Marcus Johansson |