Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 50.0%). Look for Berglund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kruger 49.2% vs Berglund 50.0% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 53.6%
Defensive zone
Kruger 78.6%
Neutral zone
Kruger 62.3%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Kruger
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Kruger
Berglund
Last 8: Kruger 2-6 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
2
Kruger
Berglund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kruger
2
1
Kruger
Berglund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
3
Kruger
Berglund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kruger
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (621)
50.5% (982)
+2.0%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
55.7% (79)
-55.7%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (100)
40.7% (108)
-9.7%
On power play, Berglund has a +55.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Kruger is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Kruger shoots left. Berglund is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (699).
Home / Away
Kruger
Berglund
Home
50.9% (395)
50.7% (548)
Away
47.0% (332)
49.3% (621)
By Period
Kruger
Berglund
P1
47.6%
49.6%
P2
46.4%
50.5%
P3
54.5%
49.6%
OT
28.6%
60.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.1%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2017 | 2 | 16:26 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Nov 9, 2016 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Marcus Kruger |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 1 | 08:47 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |